by Elyse Apel
Recent polls out of Georgia have former President Donald Trump just barely leading Vice President Kamala Harris.
With just 89 days until the election, Harris is riding a wave of momentum since launching into the race July 21 with President Joe Biden’s exit.
A poll released on Thursday by AARP found that Trump leads Harris by 2% when independent presidential candidates Robert Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West are on the ballot. Yet, when those two candidates are removed, Harris is actually tied with Trump at 48% each.
The poll, conducted from July 24-31, surveyed 1,384 likely voters. It found that Harris has a 5-point lead on Trump with independent voters, but that more Republicans support Trump than the number of Democrats supporting Biden.
While white men and women in the state support Trump at almost the same percentage, the poll found that there is a gap between Black men and women.
Only 6% of Black women supported Trump, while 12% of Black men supported Trump. Nine percent of Black men also supported Kennedy, compared to 3% of Black women.
The AARP poll has a margin of error of 4%.
Another recent poll from Redfield and Wilton released on Tuesday also has Trump leading Harris by just 2%.
It also found that the economy is the top issue for voters in every swing state, with abortion and immigration following.
Harris’ approval rating is better than Biden’s was as nominee in every swing state, though only 1% better in Georgia.
The 2% is down from an earlier poll from Redfield and Wilton that was released on July 26 and had Trump leading by 5%.
Both polls had a margin of error of 3%.
The 270towin average of the last five polls now has Trump leading by just 1% in Georgia.
One of a consensus seven swing states, Georgia is a critical battleground for any presidential candidate.
In 2020, Biden won in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while Trump won Florida and North Carolina.
Yet, Trump said at a press conference on Thursday afternoon that he remains confident about his chances in the state.
He also continues to challenge the results of that election, which he lost by just over 10,000 votes.
“You don’t win Alabama and South Carolina by records and lose Georgia. It doesn’t happen,” Trump said at the press conference.
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After completing an internship in 2023, Elyse is returning to The Center Square’s apprenticeship program, serving as the elections reporter across North Carolina and Georgia. A graduate of Hillsdale College, Elyse’s writing has been published around the country in a wide variety of publications from the “Washington Examiner” to “The American Spectator” and “The Daily Wire.”
Photo “Kamala Harris” by Vice President Kamala Harris. Photo “Donald Trump” by Gage Skidmore CC BY-SA 2.0. Background Photo “White House” by AgnosticPreachersKid CC BY-SA 3.0.
